For this reason, I have been predicting Iowa to be really, really close.
But the Des Moines Register tells us this morning that things are looking good for the Kerry folks.
The poll, taken Monday through Friday night, shows the Massachusetts senator has gotten a jump on the president among those Iowans who have cast absentee or early ballots - a major get-out-the-vote strategy of both parties.
Twenty-seven percent of Iowa adults surveyed said they had already voted. Kerry leads Bush, 52 percent to 41 percent, among that group of early-bird voters. Among the 73 percent who said they definitely would vote on Tuesday, Kerry and Bush are tied.
The article goes on to state that Bush is quite unpopular and well over half those surveyed believe things are going badly in the country.
If this is a sign of things to come, Kerry may win going away.
Oh, let us hope that is true.